Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Apr 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 75%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 75%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 55%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 49%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 48%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 34%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 66%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Refund / Rebate | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26APR29B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP