Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Childcare | Yes | 70%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 62%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 61%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | Yes | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Common Sense | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 35%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 43%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Commute / Commuter | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP