Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her next announcement?
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 64%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 62%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | 54%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Federal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hunger / Hungry | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Attendance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insecurity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 34%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP