Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Car Insurance Affordability Proposal
Markets
11 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud / Scam | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Premium | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 70%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 51%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 84%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 70%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Self Driving | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Register / Registration | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Technology | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26FEB12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP