Kathy Hochul: Keynote, Feb 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Keynote Remarks at Choose Healthy Life Summit?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budget | No | 74%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 70%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 69%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mental Health | No | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 60%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 58%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26FEB14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP