Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her remarks at the Citizens Budget Commission Gala?
Markets
15 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 68%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 66%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | 58%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | No | 70%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Mamdani / Mayor | No | 69%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 68%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Commute / Commuter | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 43%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP