Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 68%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 64%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 61%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 52%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 48%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 40%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rebate / Refund | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 13%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN09B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP