Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
15 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Yes | 60%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 71%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 66%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | No | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | No | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Health | No | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Common Sense | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Florida | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lock / Locked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 46%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 38%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP