Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
10 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Yes | 66%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 56%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Rebate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | Yes | 45%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 23%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Dairy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blizzard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP