Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her next announcement?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 70%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 63%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | 61%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 34%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 62%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rebate / Refund | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 40%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP