Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commute / Commuter | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 56%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 67%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| New Jersey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Toll | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 60%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Congestion | No | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP