Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jan 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Roundtable on Kids Online Safety?
Markets
14 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billion | Yes | 72%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 66%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare / Child Care | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ban / Banned | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Parent / Parental | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Predator / Predatory | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Privacy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Media | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 78%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scam / Scammer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JAN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP