Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Let Them Build announcement?
Markets
15 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 69%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 66%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 59%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 78%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 66%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Childcare | No | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 51%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Parade | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red Tape | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 42%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Tunnel / Bridge | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Commute / Commuter | No | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 11%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP