Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 67%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 61%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 61%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Budget | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 38%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 36%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| 2% | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Property Tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | 32%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-HOCH26MAR16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP