Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her next announcement?
Markets
10 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Yes | 64%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 54%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Invest / Investment / Invested | No | 76%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 62%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | No | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 42%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 26%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP