Kathy Hochul: Remarks, May 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 76%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 38%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 76%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 62%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 59%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 57%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 54%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 51%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Refund / Rebate | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 20%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAY11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP