Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Public Safety Announcement?
Markets
14 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 56%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 66%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 64%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 63%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | No | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 51%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 49%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | No | 48%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 43%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 10%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP