Kathy Hochul: Remarks, May 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 77%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 71%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 71%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 54%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Profit | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Buffalo | No | 58%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 52%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Uber / Rideshare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 48%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 18%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP