Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her World Cup announcement?
Markets
10 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 68%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 53%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Field | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ticket | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 77%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 63%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 56%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 45%n=34 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP