Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her next announcement?
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Yes | 62%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 70%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 63%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Bridge / Tunnel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Commute / Commuter | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Congestion | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 40%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 34%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-HOCH26MAR25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP