Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Apr 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 69%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 68%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 63%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 62%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 67%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Too Damn High | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Common Sense | No | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 35%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26APR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP