Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Yes | 48%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 40%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 70%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 70%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 68%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 63%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 61%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 51%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Crisis | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 11%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP