Will “Corrupt / Corruption” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said on The Last Word in 21 of 43 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (49%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=43, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

52%from settlement history only · n=43counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Corrupt / Corruption

Probability
52% · n=43
Settled
21/43 (49%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Josh Turekguest45:13In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jon Ossoffguest26:54In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

videoother52:04In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Raphael Warnockguest19:58In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 3 times (counts)

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Find “Corrupt / Corruption” in this transcript

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 44 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 22, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes1
Oct 21, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes1
Oct 7, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes1
Oct 6, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes3
Oct 5, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Oct 1, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Aug 27, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Aug 26, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Aug 25, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes1
Aug 18, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jul 30, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jul 22, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jul 20, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jul 16, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 30, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 17, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 15, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jun 9, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jun 5, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jun 3, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 1, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
May 28, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
May 20, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
May 14, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Apr 2, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Mar 31, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Mar 25, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Mar 24, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Mar 6, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Mar 5, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Feb 26, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Feb 17, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Feb 10, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Feb 3, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–
Jan 13, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Corrupt / Corruption” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said on The Last Word in 21 of 43 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (49%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Corrupt / Corruption” is said on The Last Word next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=43). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP