The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Feb 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Body Cam / Body Camera | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redacted / Redaction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Noem / Homan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26FEB03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP