The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jan 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Credit | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation / Grocery | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JAN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP