The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jun 5, 2026
Kalshi What will James Walkinshaw say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 67%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 51%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Todd / Blanche | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 59%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| FBI | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / Border | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ro Khanna | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP