Will Donald Trump say “Allah”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Allah” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 37¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Allah
- Probability
- 31% · n=8
- Settled
- 2/8 (25%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Allah |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Allah | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Allah | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Allah | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Allah | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Allah |  Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Allah | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Allah | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Allah”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Allah” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Allah” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Allah’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/allah (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=allah · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP