Will Donald Trump say “Two week / two-week”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Two week / two-week” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Two week / two-week
- Probability
- 52% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
now for two weeks. Every week I'm in a different place. But it is my home territory. I can I could go home very quick…
…Iran. This is good. It's good. I think he sounds good. But two weeks ago, I also signed an order waving off-road requirements for red…
…and efficacy. They moved to Africa. We got them there, too. Just two weeks ago, we were in Ghana and Nigeria, and we arrested another…
…a few miles from here. It was an unbelievably terrible time. In two weeks, we will mark the third anniversary of the October 7th attack…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Two week / two-week |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Two weeks | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Two weeks | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Two weeks | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Two Weeks | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Two week / two-week”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Two week / two-week” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Two week / two-week” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Two week / two-week’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/two-week (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=two%20week · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP