Donald Trump: Remarks, Jun 14, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Markets
16 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitler / Nazi | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia | No | 63%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 3+ times | No | 55%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | No | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Dome | No | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| America / American 20+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 3+ times | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Freedom 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 28%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 23%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 20%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=98 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-his-250th-army-anniversary-remarks-on-june-14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP