Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 13, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (September 7 - September 13)
Coverage
18 known appearances16 of 18 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 8, 2026 Remarks at the Tunnel to Towers Foundation's Steel Across America Event Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Hershel 'Woody' Williams National Medal of Honor Monument Location Act in Arlington, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Closing in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks on the 25th Anniversary of the September 11, 2001, Terrorist Attacks in Arlington, Virginia Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Micheál Martin of Ireland and an Exchange With Reporters in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Following a Visit With President Catherine Connolly of Ireland in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks to United States Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open Trophy Ceremony in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters During the Amgen Irish Open in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters at the Trump International Golf Links and Hotel Doonbeg in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Shannon, Ireland Official transcript
Markets
17 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wall | Yes | 21 | 21 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golf / Golfing / Golfer | Yes | 13 | 14 | ✓ | 58%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 9 | 12 | ✓ | 64%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| Secret Service | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 54%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 48%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| 11,888 | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| King | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 42%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Smoke | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 58%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cook / Cooked | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Monopoly | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scottish Blood | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Migrant Criminal | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Milk | No | – | 0 | – | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | – | 0 | – | 35%n=60 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
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