Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his EPA Announcement?
Polymarket What will Trump say during remarks at Fort Bragg?
Markets
48 words · 26 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 71%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 64%n=123 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 59%n=177 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 58%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | Yes | 54%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 53%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 52%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Wind / Windmill | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 49%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Emission | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| EV / Electric | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 47%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | Yes | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 45%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| CAFE | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 40%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 40%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Recruitment / Recruit / Recruiting | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World War II | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Absolute Resolve / Midnight Hammer | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hoax | Yes | 37%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Medal | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Star | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | Yes | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | Yes | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hawk / Dog | Yes | 31%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 56%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 51%n=144 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 51%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 49%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| ISIS | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | 49%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Solar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God 3+ times | No | 40%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Climate Change | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fort Liberty | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Birth / Birthday | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | No | 38%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Peace Through Strength | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Secretary of War | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 4+ times | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 31%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 27%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=270 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-fort-bragg · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP