Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 27, 2025

Thu, Nov 27RemarksHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Markets

20 words · 13 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Biden Yes61%n=113 from settlement history–
Tariff Yes59%n=71 from settlement history–
Hottest Yes55%n=79 from settlement history–
Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ timesYes50%n=14 from settlement history–
Gulf Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Thanksgiving 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Skedaddle Yes39%n=2 from settlement history–
Turkey Yes39%n=5 from settlement history–
Obliterated / Obliterating / Obliteration Yes37%n=2 from settlement history–
Stock market Yes35%n=18 from settlement history–
Space Force Yes34%n=4 from settlement history–
Job 10+ timesYes34%n=3 from settlement history–
Hell 2+ timesYes26%n=5 from settlement history–
Eight wars No59%n=6 from settlement history–
World Cup No53%n=4 from settlement history–
Tren de Aragua No42%n=8 from settlement history–
God 4+ timesNo42%n=7 from settlement history–
Chicago No42%n=9 from settlement history–
Woke / Wokeness No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Midnight Hammer No37%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-call-with-service-members-on-november-27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP