Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jun 30, 2026

By Jun 30Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

40 known appearances
30 of 40 known appearances transcribed Window: Apr 1, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 588 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (59 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

14 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 1 of 1

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
TrumpRX Yes77✓49%n=3 from settlement history–
Gulf of Trump Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump Account Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Kennedy Center Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump National / Trump International Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Strait / Strait of Trump Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Card Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Fort Trump No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Mount Trump No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Airport No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Arc / Arc de Trump No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Dollar / Trump Bill No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Tower No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Trump University No–0––new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP