Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Jul 26, 2026
In the week ending Jul 26, 2026, Donald Trump posted 9 of the 17 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 15 | 15 | ✓ | 60%n=169 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 75%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 61%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 48%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 69%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Communist | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 47%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Football | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%n=442 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-07-26:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-07-26:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP