Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 28, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Japan troop visit on October 28?
Markets
18 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | Yes | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 56%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Eight Wars | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear 2+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 45%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell 5+ times | Yes | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | No | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Kim Jong-Un | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Midnight Hammer | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World War 3 | No | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | No | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Beautiful Woman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hiroshima / Nagasaki | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden 5+ times | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| archNuclear | open | – | 70¢ Polymarket |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-japan-troop-visit-on-october-28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP