Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 21, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (September 15 - 21)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Sep 15, 2025 to Sep 21, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid person | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elizabeth | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Embarrassing | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fat | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Young people don't die | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| President Xi | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Qatar | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Golf | No | – | 0 | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nazi / Nazist | No | – | 0 | 40%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 19%n=119 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-15-21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP