Will Kathy Hochul say “Trump”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Trump” at 13 of 31 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (42%), most recently on May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=31, from settlement history), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history only · n=31counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=trump

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Trump

Probability
42% · n=31
Settled
13/31 (42%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her Public Safety Announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her Let Them Build announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · not listed

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her World Cup announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 31 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 11, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Apr 29, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 23, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 15, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 6, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 18, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 17, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 12, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Feb 10, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Feb 6, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 5, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 4, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jan 30, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 24, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 21, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jan 14, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jan 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Trump” at 13 of 31 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (42%), most recently on May 11, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Trump” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=31). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP