Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jan 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her Child Care Announcement?
Markets
11 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo / Bill | Yes | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billion | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Education / School | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Family | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invest / Investment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Mamdani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blizzard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| State of Emergency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JAN24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP