Kathy Hochul: Press conference, Jan 9, 2026

Fri, Jan 9Press conferenceHistory onlyKathy Hochul

Updated

Markets

14 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Affordable / Affordability Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Albany Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Billion Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Buffalo / Bills Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Economy / Economic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Education Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Inequality / Crisis Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mamdani Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Policy / Budget Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud No–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / National Guard No–new new word, no probability yet–
Maduro / Venezuela No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JAN09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP