Will Kathy Hochul say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 29 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (69%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=42, from settlement history), not a forecast.
56%from settlement history only · n=42counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes no no no
How often does Kathy Hochul say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 29 of 42 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (69%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=42). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Citeparrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Kalshi