Gavin Newsom
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 296 word markets on Gavin Newsom’s appearances since 2025, on 96 different words; most reliably said: “Trump” (15 of 19).
History Wall
1–40 of 97, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Feb 25panel | Feb 26briefing | Mar 3remarks | Mar 11remarks | Mar 25conference | Apr 2conference | Apr 22remarks | May 14remarks | May 19keynote | May 27latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democracy | Settled no: Democracy, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: Democracy, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: Democracy, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: Democracy, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Democracy, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Democracy, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: Democracy, Apr 22 remarks | Settled no: Democracy, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Democracy, May 19 keynote | Settled yes: Democracy, May 27 remarks | 3/933% | 10/2050% | 44%n=20 from settlement history |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: Trump, Feb 26 briefing | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 11 remarks | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Trump, Apr 2 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Trump, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Trump, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Trump, May 27 remarks | 6/875% | 15/1979% | 70%n=19 from settlement history |
| 2028 / Campaign | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 11 remarks | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, May 19 keynote | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, May 27 remarks | 5/1050% | 6/1833% | 44%n=18 from settlement history |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Feb 25 panel | Settled no: Republican, Feb 26 briefing | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: Republican, Mar 11 remarks | Settled no: Republican, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Republican, Apr 2 conference | Settled yes: Republican, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Republican, May 14 remarks | Settled no: Republican, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Republican, May 27 remarks | 3/933% | 6/1443% | 48%n=14 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 25 panel | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 26 briefing | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 11 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 27 remarks | 3/838% | 3/1225% | 33%n=12 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Settled no: Healthcare, Feb 25 panel | Settled no: Healthcare, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Healthcare, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Healthcare, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Healthcare, May 27 remarks | 2/450% | 3/1030% | 48%n=10 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: Fraud, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Fraud, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Fraud, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Fraud, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Fraud, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Fraud, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Fraud, May 27 remarks | 3/650% | 3/933% | 41%n=9 from settlement history |
| Economy / Economic | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 11 remarks | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Economy / Economic, May 27 remarks | 0/20% | 5/771% | 45%n=7 from settlement history |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Settled no: Homeless / Homelessness, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Homeless / Homelessness, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Homeless / Homelessness, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Homeless / Homelessness, May 27 remarks | 2/367% | 5/771% | 60%n=7 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: Election, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: Election, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Election, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Election, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Election, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Election, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Election, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Election, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Election, May 27 remarks | 4/667% | 4/757% | 58%n=7 from settlement history |
| ICE / Border | Settled no: ICE / Border, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: ICE / Border, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: ICE / Border, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: ICE / Border, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: ICE / Border, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: ICE / Border, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: ICE / Border, May 14 remarks | Not listed: ICE / Border, May 19 keynote | Not listed: ICE / Border, May 27 remarks | 1/425% | 3/743% | 42%n=7 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 11 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 2 conference | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 14 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 27 remarks | 3/743% | 3/743% | 48%n=7 from settlement history |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Mental Health, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Mental Health, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Mental Health, Mar 11 remarks | Settled yes: Mental Health, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Mental Health, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Mental Health, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Mental Health, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Mental Health, May 27 remarks | 3/475% | 5/683% | 66%n=6 from settlement history |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Feb 26 briefing | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Safe / Safer / Safety, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, May 27 remarks | 3/475% | 5/683% | 66%n=6 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, May 27 remarks | 2/450% | 3/650% | 49%n=6 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 11 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 19 keynote | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 27 remarks | 4/580% | 4/580% | 64%n=5 from settlement history |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, May 27 remarks | – | 2/540% | 50%n=5 from settlement history |
| Budget / Deficit | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: Budget / Deficit, Mar 3 remarks | Settled yes: Budget / Deficit, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Budget / Deficit, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Budget / Deficit, May 27 remarks | 1/333% | 2/540% | 36%n=5 from settlement history |
| Climate | Settled no: Climate, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Climate, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Climate, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Climate, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Climate, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Climate, Apr 2 conference | Settled yes: Climate, Apr 22 remarks | Settled no: Climate, May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Climate, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Climate, May 27 remarks | 2/450% | 2/540% | 51%n=5 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Feb 25 panel | Settled yes: Epstein, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: Epstein, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Epstein, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Epstein, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Epstein, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Epstein, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Epstein, May 27 remarks | 1/250% | 1/520% | 38%n=5 from settlement history |
| Climate Change | Not listed: Climate Change, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Climate Change, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Climate Change, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Climate Change, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Climate Change, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Climate Change, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Climate Change, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Climate Change, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Climate Change, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Climate Change, May 27 remarks | – | 1/425% | 33%n=4 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Apr 22 remarks | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, May 14 remarks | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, May 19 keynote | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, May 27 remarks | 1/425% | 1/425% | 39%n=4 from settlement history |
| Irannever said | Not listed: Iran, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Iran, Feb 26 briefing | Settled no: Iran, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: Iran, Mar 11 remarks | Settled no: Iran, Mar 25 conference | Settled no: Iran, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Iran, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Iran, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Iran, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Iran, May 27 remarks | 0/40% | 0/40% | 22%n=4 from settlement history |
| Crisis | Not listed: Crisis, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Crisis, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Crisis, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Crisis, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Crisis, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Crisis, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Crisis, May 27 remarks | – | 2/367% | 54%n=3 from settlement history |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, May 14 remarks | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, May 19 keynote | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, May 27 remarks | – | 2/367% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 3 remarks | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 2/367% | 50%n=3 from settlement history |
| Clean Energy | Not listed: Clean Energy, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Clean Energy, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Clean Energy, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Clean Energy, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Clean Energy, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Clean Energy, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Clean Energy, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Clean Energy, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Clean Energy, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Clean Energy, May 27 remarks | – | 1/333% | 47%n=3 from settlement history |
| Wildfire | Not listed: Wildfire, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Wildfire, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Wildfire, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Wildfire, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Wildfire, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Wildfire, Apr 2 conference | Settled no: Wildfire, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Wildfire, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Wildfire, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Wildfire, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 0/30% | 34%n=3 from settlement history |
| Home / Housing | Not listed: Home / Housing, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Home / Housing, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Home / Housing, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Home / Housing, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Home / Housing, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Home / Housing, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Home / Housing, May 27 remarks | – | 2/2100% | 61%n=2 from settlement history |
| Pollution / Pollute | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Pollution / Pollute, May 27 remarks | – | 2/2100% | 62%n=2 from settlement history |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 14 remarks | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), May 19 keynote | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), May 27 remarks | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 62%n=2 from settlement history |
| 2028 | Not listed: 2028, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: 2028, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: 2028, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: 2028, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: 2028, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: 2028, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: 2028, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: 2028, May 14 remarks | Not listed: 2028, May 19 keynote | Not listed: 2028, May 27 remarks | – | 1/250% | 38%n=2 from settlement history |
| EV | Not listed: EV, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: EV, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: EV, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: EV, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: EV, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: EV, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: EV, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: EV, May 14 remarks | Not listed: EV, May 19 keynote | Not listed: EV, May 27 remarks | – | 1/250% | 54%n=2 from settlement history |
| Fire / Wildfire | Settled no: Fire / Wildfire, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Fire / Wildfire, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Nuclear | Not listed: Nuclear, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Nuclear, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Nuclear, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Nuclear, May 27 remarks | – | 1/250% | 54%n=2 from settlement history |
| Podcast | Settled no: Podcast, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Podcast, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Podcast, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Podcast, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Podcast, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Podcast, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Podcast, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Podcast, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Podcast, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Podcast, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| San Francisco | Settled no: San Francisco, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: San Francisco, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: San Francisco, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: San Francisco, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: San Francisco, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: San Francisco, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: San Francisco, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: San Francisco, May 14 remarks | Not listed: San Francisco, May 19 keynote | Not listed: San Francisco, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 27 remarks | – | 1/250% | 54%n=2 from settlement history |
| Billionaire | Not listed: Billionaire, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Billionaire, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Billionaire, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Billionaire, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Billionaire, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Billionaire, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Billionaire, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Billionaire, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Billionaire, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Billionaire, May 27 remarks | – | 0/20% | 41%n=2 from settlement history |
| Childhood | Settled no: Childhood, Feb 25 panel | Not listed: Childhood, Feb 26 briefing | Not listed: Childhood, Mar 3 remarks | Not listed: Childhood, Mar 11 remarks | Not listed: Childhood, Mar 25 conference | Not listed: Childhood, Apr 2 conference | Not listed: Childhood, Apr 22 remarks | Not listed: Childhood, May 14 remarks | Not listed: Childhood, May 19 keynote | Not listed: Childhood, May 27 remarks | 0/10% | 0/20% | 29%n=2 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement? | no transcript | 15 | 6 yes · 9 no | – |
| May 19, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Gavin Newsom say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? | no transcript | 16 | 12 yes · 4 no | – |
| May 14, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his revised budget plan? | no transcript | 16 | 12 yes · 4 no | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his Earth Day announcement? | no transcript | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | – |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? | no transcript | 16 | 0 yes · 16 no | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his behavioral health announcement? | no transcript | 16 | 9 yes · 7 no | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his announcement on homelessness? | no transcript | 16 | 7 yes · 9 no | – |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Press briefingWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 14 | 9 yes · 5 no | – |
| Feb 25, 2026 | PanelWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his book tour discussion? | no transcript | 15 | 0 yes · 15 no | – |
| Feb 23, 2026 | PanelWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his book tour discussion? | no transcript | 14 | 8 yes · 6 no | – |
| Feb 21, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Gavin Newsom say during his San Quentin announcement? | no transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/gavin-newsom · words: /api/v1/history?entity=gavin-newsom · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP