Will Gavin Newsom say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Gavin Newsom did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Gavin Newsom
Billionaire
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Billionaire |  Kalshi | No |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Billionaire | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Gavin Newsom say “Billionaire”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Gavin Newsom did not say “Billionaire” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Billionaire” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP