Will Gavin Newsom say “Epstein”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Epstein” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
38%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Gavin Newsom
Epstein
- Probability
- 38% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Gavin Newsom say “Epstein”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Epstein” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (20%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Epstein” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP