Will Gavin Newsom say “Healthcare”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Healthcare” at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 13, 2025 (30%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=healthcare

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Gavin Newsom

Healthcare

Probability
48% · n=10
Settled
3/10 (30%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his revised budget plan? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his Earth Day announcement? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his behavioral health announcement? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his announcement on homelessness? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his book tour discussion? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 19, 2026HealthcareKalshiYes
May 14, 2026HealthcareKalshiYes
Feb 26, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Feb 25, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Feb 23, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Feb 11, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Jan 23, 2026HealthcareKalshiYes
Jan 17, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Jan 6, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo
Dec 13, 2025HealthcareKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Gavin Newsom say “Healthcare”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Healthcare” at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 13, 2025 (30%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Healthcare” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Healthcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/healthcare (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=healthcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP