Will Gavin Newsom say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Gavin Newsom

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Probability
33% · n=12
Settled
3/12 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Gavin Newsom say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his revised budget plan? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his Earth Day announcement? · settled no

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his behavioral health announcement? · settled no

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his announcement on homelessness? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his book tour discussion? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 27, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
May 19, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026Afford / Affordability / AffordableKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes
Mar 11, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Mar 3, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes
Feb 26, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 25, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 23, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 20, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 11, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Gavin Newsom say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP