Will Gavin Newsom say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 25, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceGavin Newsom
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 64% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | |
| May 19, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | |
| May 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Gavin Newsom say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 25, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP