Will Gavin Newsom say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (83%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

66%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Gavin Newsom

Safe / Safer / Safety

Probability
66% · n=6
Settled
5/6 (83%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Gavin Newsom say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his revised budget plan? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his Earth Day announcement? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his behavioral health announcement? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his announcement on homelessness? · settled yes

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Gavin Newsom say during his book tour discussion? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 19, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiNo
Mar 11, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes
Feb 20, 2026Safe / Safer / SafetyKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Gavin Newsom say “Safe / Safer / Safety”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Gavin Newsom said “Safe / Safer / Safety” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (83%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Safe / Safer / Safety” next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Safe / Safer / Safety’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/safe-or-safer-or-safety (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=safe%20%2F%20safer%20%2F%20safety · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP