Will Donald Trump say “Women's Sports”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Women's Sports” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2024 (70%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Women's Sports
- Probability
- 50% · n=23
- Settled
- 16/23 (70%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…children. They want open borders. They want they want men playing in women's sports. So, their financial policies are just as stupid as their regular…
…to open up the borders. They're going to have men playing in women's sports. That's another beauty. But the proud people of Iowa will never…
…as president." Can you imagine George Washington telling these story? No. Because George Washington lived in sanity. He didn't have men playing in women's sports.
Every settled listing
newest first · 23 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Women's Sports |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Women's sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Women's Sport | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Women's Sport | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Women's sports | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Women's sports | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 1, 2025 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Women's Sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Women's sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Women's sports | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Women's sports | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Women's Sports”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Women's Sports” at 16 of 23 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2024 (70%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Women's Sports” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Women's Sports’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/womens-sport (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=women%27s%20sport · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP