Political debates

Politics · DebatesEvent seriesHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 01:05 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 658 word markets on the Political debates series since 2025, on 240 different words; most reliably said: “Data Center” (14 of 15).

History Wall

1–40 of 263, most settled first · page 1 of 4

Political debates: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Aug 3debate	Aug 3debate	Aug 20debate	Sep 30debate	Oct 7debate	Oct 7debate	Oct 8debate	Oct 8debate	Oct 13debate	Oct 21latest	Last 10	Settled	Probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 21 debate	9/9100%	17/2763%	75%n=27 from settlement history
Corrupt / Corruption	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 8 debate	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 21 debate	5/956%	12/1771%	63%n=17 from settlement history
Fraud	YSettled yes: Fraud, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: Fraud, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: Fraud, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Fraud, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Fraud, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Fraud, Oct 13 debate	YSettled yes: Fraud, Oct 21 debate	4/667%	9/1753%	56%n=17 from settlement history
Data Center	YSettled yes: Data Center, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Data Center, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Data Center, Oct 21 debate	9/9100%	14/1593%	87%n=15 from settlement history
Billionaire	–Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Billionaire, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Billionaire, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Billionaire, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Billionaire, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Billionaire, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 21 debate	5/5100%	12/1486%	81%n=14 from settlement history
Israel / Israeli	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Aug 20 debate	NSettled no: Israel / Israeli, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 21 debate	4/580%	9/1369%	67%n=13 from settlement history
Tariff	–Not listed: Tariff, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Tariff, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Tariff, Aug 20 debate	NSettled no: Tariff, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Tariff, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Tariff, Oct 21 debate	5/683%	9/1369%	68%n=13 from settlement history
Socialist / Socialism	NSettled no: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 21 debate	2/633%	6/1250%	50%n=12 from settlement history
ICE	YSettled yes: ICE, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: ICE, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: ICE, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: ICE, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: ICE, Oct 21 debate	4/4100%	9/1182%	74%n=11 from settlement history
China / Chinese	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Aug 3 debate	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Aug 20 debate	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 21 debate	5/771%	6/1155%	59%n=11 from settlement history
Trump5+ times	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Sep 30 debate	NSettled no: Trump (5+ times), Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Oct 21 debate	8/989%	9/1090%	80%n=10 from settlement history
Oil / Gas / Gasolineevery time	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 21 debate	4/4100%	8/8100%	86%n=8 from settlement history
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	YSettled yes: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 21 debate	3/475%	6/875%	67%n=8 from settlement history
Healthcare	YSettled yes: Healthcare, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 21 debate	1/1100%	6/875%	68%n=8 from settlement history
Mental Health	–Not listed: Mental Health, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Mental Health, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Mental Health, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Mental Health, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Mental Health, Oct 21 debate	3/3100%	6/875%	70%n=8 from settlement history
Border	–Not listed: Border, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Border, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Border, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Border, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Border, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Border, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Border, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Border, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Border, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Border, Oct 21 debate	4/4100%	5/771%	71%n=7 from settlement history
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Aug 3 debate	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 21 debate	3/3100%	5/683%	73%n=6 from settlement history
Climate	–Not listed: Climate, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Climate, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Climate, Oct 21 debate	0/10%	3/650%	55%n=6 from settlement history
Abortion	NSettled no: Abortion, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Abortion, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Abortion, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Abortion, Sep 30 debate	NSettled no: Abortion, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Abortion, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Abortion, Oct 8 debate	NSettled no: Abortion, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Abortion, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Abortion, Oct 21 debate	1/520%	1/617%	36%n=6 from settlement history
Ballroomnever said	–Not listed: Ballroom, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Aug 20 debate	NSettled no: Ballroom, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Ballroom, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 21 debate	0/20%	0/60%	25%n=6 from settlement history
Medicaid / Medicareevery time	–Not listed: Medicaid / Medicare, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Medicaid / Medicare, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Medicaid / Medicare, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Medicaid / Medicare, Sep 30 debate	YSettled yes: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 7 debate	YSettled yes: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Medicaid / Medicare, Oct 21 debate	5/5100%	5/5100%	83%n=5 from settlement history
Trumpevery time	–Not listed: Trump, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Trump, Oct 21 debate	–	5/5100%	77%n=5 from settlement history
Housing	–Not listed: Housing, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Housing, Oct 21 debate	–	3/560%	57%n=5 from settlement history
Iran	–Not listed: Iran, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Iran, Oct 21 debate	–	3/560%	57%n=5 from settlement history
Minimum Wage	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Sep 30 debate	NSettled no: Minimum Wage, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Minimum Wage, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Minimum Wage, Oct 21 debate	0/20%	2/540%	43%n=5 from settlement history
Elon / Musk	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 21 debate	0/20%	1/520%	40%n=5 from settlement history
Epstein	–Not listed: Epstein, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Epstein, Oct 21 debate	–	1/520%	40%n=5 from settlement history
Fentanyl	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Oct 8 debate	YSettled yes: Fentanyl, Oct 8 debate	NSettled no: Fentanyl, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Fentanyl, Oct 21 debate	1/250%	1/520%	45%n=5 from settlement history
Affordable / Affordabilityevery time	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Aug 20 debate	YSettled yes: Affordable / Affordability, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 21 debate	1/1100%	4/4100%	78%n=4 from settlement history
Homelessevery time	–Not listed: Homeless, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Homeless, Oct 21 debate	–	4/4100%	72%n=4 from settlement history
Rikersevery time	–Not listed: Rikers, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Rikers, Oct 21 debate	–	4/4100%	73%n=4 from settlement history
Trumpevery time 8+ times	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Trump (8+ times), Oct 21 debate	–	4/4100%	78%n=4 from settlement history
AIPAC	–Not listed: AIPAC, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: AIPAC, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: AIPAC, Oct 13 debate	YSettled yes: AIPAC, Oct 21 debate	1/250%	3/475%	60%n=4 from settlement history
Immigrant / Immigration	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 21 debate	–	3/475%	67%n=4 from settlement history
Common Sense	YSettled yes: Common Sense, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Common Sense, Oct 21 debate	1/1100%	2/450%	51%n=4 from settlement history
MAGA / Make America Great Again	NSettled no: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Oct 21 debate	0/10%	2/450%	53%n=4 from settlement history
Crypto / Bitcoinnever said	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 21 debate	–	0/40%	35%n=4 from settlement history
Inflationnever said	–Not listed: Inflation, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Inflation, Oct 21 debate	–	0/40%	40%n=4 from settlement history
Zohran / Mamdaninever said	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 7 debate	NSettled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 13 debate	NSettled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 21 debate	0/20%	0/40%	27%n=4 from settlement history
Biden	YSettled yes: Biden, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Aug 3 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Aug 20 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Sep 30 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 7 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 8 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 13 debate	–Not listed: Biden, Oct 21 debate	1/1100%	3/3100%	75%n=3 from settlement history

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (223 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “Political debates: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/political-debates · words: /api/v1/history?entity=political-debates · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP