Will “Minimum Wage” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Minimum Wage” was said at the Political debates on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Minimum Wage
- Probability
- 43% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Minimum Wage |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Minimum Wage | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Minimum Wage | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Minimum Wage | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Minimum Wage | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Minimum Wage” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Minimum Wage” was said at the Political debates on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Minimum Wage” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Minimum Wage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/minimum-wage (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=minimum%20wage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP